1

I apologise about the proof-reading-like questions which annoy some of the experts here. But from them, I learn and apply in future. I have the following sentence:

There is a small probability that something bad will happen. To get an insight on such probability

Is it:

on such probability

or

on such a probability

1

Either of these is grammatically fine.

In this context, however, I don't think I'd use such at all. You're not speaking about a probability like that one, which is what such implies—you're talking specifically about that particular probability, the probability that something bad happens. And that's what I'd say:

There is a small probability that something bad will happen. To get an insight on that probability . . .

0

Many times, ELLers try to use the word such as you have done.

Very often, it's better to use to phrase it like this:

[...] to obtain or gain insight into a probability such as that/this/.

Such a probability works better at the beginning of a sentence:

Such a probability [previously defined in another sentence] is not a likely scenario.

for quick reference: rather than use "such a [noun]",it's better to use: a/an [noun] such as this/that/these/those.

A probability such as this is not a likely outcome.

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