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Do both not a and not any sound natural In the following context? Are they both correct?

Parliament elections in india are near. Today an opinion poll was held that says Abc party will win 250 seats, Xyz party will win 100 seats and others will not win a seat/any seats.

As both mean others will win zero seats so I think both forms are correct. Can someone explain?

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In the context given you would use "any seats"

You could use "a seat" but would phrase it as:

Xyz party will win 100 seats and others will not win a single seat

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'Not a' is usually an emphatic form, but can also be used in set expressions.

You 'breathe not a word about' a surprise party, for example.

After the disaster, not a word was spoken by the survivors, who were all in shock.

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