Could you tell me if it's correct and natural to say what chance do you give to... meaning what do you think is the chance of something happening? For example:

Person A: What chance do you give to the pandemic being over by the summer?

Person B: I give it a 100 percent chance.

If that is not the most natural way to ask that, what is most natural then?

  • 2
    I don't think What chance do you give is particularly "natural" for Anglophones when asking for a specific numerical "likelihood" value in this way (whether expecting some "percentage" between 0% and 100%, or a "fractional" value like a one-in-five chance). We tend to phrase such questions as How likely is it that X will happen?, How likely [do you think] it is that X will happen? or What [do you think] are the chances that X will happen? – FumbleFingers Jan 4 at 17:56
  • Do you want a percentage as an answer? Or would you like odds? The "do you give" portion of your query might indicate that you might be asking what a person might bet, and if that's what you are after "What odds would you give on the pandemic being over by summer?" would be natural. – Dave X Jan 4 at 21:14
  • Yes, thanks! I'd like a percentage as an answer. If want a percentage for an answer, will "what odds would you give on" work? – Dmytro O'Hope Jan 4 at 21:32
  • No, if you ask "What odds would you give?" your answer will be something like "twenty to one". To get a percentage, I think you'd have to ask for it. More natural would be to say "On a scale of one to ten, how likely do you think...?" – BeginTheBeguine Feb 18 at 9:42

'to' or 'for' would be fine. Either doesn't read as odd to me.

How likely is it that the pandemic is over by summer?


What are the chances for the pandemic being over by the summer?

as options, but not "better". Chance vs chances ... I think both can be used provided verb agreement is handled. I like your wording a little better than any of mine.

  • Thank you for the answer? I wanted to clearify something. So "what chance do you give to the pandemic being over?" sounds all right to you, am I right? – Dmytro O'Hope Jan 4 at 17:53
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    No. (See my comment above! :) – FumbleFingers Jan 4 at 17:58
  • Asking for a numeric "chance" doesn't make sense in English when there aren't hard facts to calculate an actual fact-based chance. A yes/no question would be just as valid or a scaled not likely at all --- neutral --- highly likely if you want someone to guess. – JohnP Feb 16 at 19:18

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