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Can you please tell me if there is any difference in meaning between I have to... and I'm going to have to in the context below.

Tomorrow I'm going home, so I have to wake up early to catch the bus.

Tomorrow I'm going home, so I'm going to have to wake up early to catch the bus.

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The first is "I am presently obliged to wake up early tomorrow"

The second is "In the future I will be obliged to wake up early."

In the present example, there's really no difference. But in some cases there may be a reason to prefer one over the other.

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